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Originally Posted by Kjeldoran
True, then again it's also easy to say afterwards ... "you should have done this and you shouldn't have done that" ...
And the choice of allies often is an estimated guess and a belief in good faith (e.g. I know the Hc of the other alliance, they seem capable so they'll play a good round). But all in all it's pure guessing, although I agree you can minimize the risks.
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His primary point of cristicism was the too early political intervention LCH took.