[booji]

Put simply you were phase 1, phase 2 never happened.
With you and p3n by a long shot the largest number of incs we had there was a view within rogues both among some HC and members that bows alliance with p3n posed a mortal threat to us. P3n in particular was unwilling to make much in the way of a deal with us to reduce the number of incs they gave us. We therefore assumed rogues would at some point have to fight both p3n and bows.

This was the reason for us napping ND, and then making an avoidance agreement with HR. The war with you was because rogues hoped to take you out before p3n supported you and it came as quite a surprise to us that p3n did not really step up their incs on us when we attacked you. Originally as I say taking bows out was to ensure you would not be a threat when we fought p3n. Ultimately however wider universe politics resulted in us patching up our fractured relationship with p3n rather than moving on to fighting them.

So yes there was reasoning behind hitting you that had little to do with raw incoming stats; which if we had gone off we really should have been fighting p3n.