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Texan 21 Jun 2008 22:26

Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
If the United States had ratified the Kyoto Protocol, this would be justification for nuking all of your capital cities.

If you want to sign a treaty should you not consider doing what you said you would do?

http://reports.eea.europa.eu/technic...0report%202008

roadrunner_0 22 Jun 2008 01:12

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
you are actually retarded aren't you?

Yahwe 22 Jun 2008 02:28

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
To whom it may concern in the US government,

Please sack him.

Kind regards,

The competent people who should have his job

Texan 22 Jun 2008 15:14

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Doesn't it just piss you off that you try to do good things, and your damn countrymen keep burning fossil fuels?

Texan 22 Jun 2008 15:18

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roadrunner_0
you are actually retarded aren't you?

IQ of 134 last time it was checked. Did it ever occur to you that your judgement about some issues may be clouded?

Texan 22 Jun 2008 15:26

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Yahwe
To whom it may concern in the US government,

Please sack him.

Kind regards,

The competent people who should have his job

The competent people who should have my job don't want it. Hello, would you like to be the spokesman for an organization that trains Soldiers to deal with the problems they will face in Iraq and Afghnistan?

Your job is easy compared to mine. That's why I get paid more than you get paid.

Phil^ 22 Jun 2008 16:22

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
I would somewhat doubt you earn more than yahwe

Mzyxptlk 22 Jun 2008 16:33

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Texan
Doesn't it just piss you off that you try to do good things, and your damn countrymen keep burning fossil fuels?

I hope to see the Apocalypse. To facilitate the process, I have put 25 radiators in my back yard, and I keep them all going 24/7, 365 days a year.

roadrunner_0 23 Jun 2008 00:25

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Texan
IQ of 134 last time it was checked. Did it ever occur to you that your judgement about some issues may be clouded?



did it ever occur to you that on some issues your judgement may be clouded?


also, you made me agree with yahwe, i hate you :p

Tactitus 23 Jun 2008 22:42

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toccata & Fugue
Europe is rubbish in the Environment, yet somehow the United States contrives to be worse.

If the twenty biggest economies cut their emissions then the problem would be resolved.

Um, sure. But cut by how much and at what cost? The devil is always in those pesky details. :)
Quote:

The Stern report estimates that the cost of this would be 1% of global GDP per year (currently about $400billion), in the medium to long term it would save money because renewables and energy efficiency measures would have paid for themselves and after that everything is free (barring maintenance costs) - there would also be significant advantages gained through energy security.
I think there are a number of flaws with the Stern Review but the proof here is really in the pudding. If so few countries are able or willing to meet their Kyoto targets (and Kyoto is only a small fraction of what is needed) then that suggests (to me) that it might be rather difficult. But hey, prove me wrong! :)

I think the best proof you could offer would be to meet your Kyoto targets (preferably without doing major damage to your economies). It seems silly to me to argue how emissions reductions sufficient to halt global warming are really quite affordable and doable while so many countries are failing to achieve even the modest Kyoto reductions. Something's not adding up. :confused:
Quote:

If you believe, as many do, that the US is fighting in the Middle East in order to secure oil reserves then it is amusing that US military spending is 10% of its GDP, which is about $439billion military budget plus an additional $170billion for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Well, amusing in a let's-wildly-inflate-the-numbers sort of way.

First of all, you can't just charge all military spending against Iraq and Afghanistan. Contrary to what you may have heard, the US military maintains ships and bases in all sorts of places outside the middle east--even places that don't have oil! In any case, US military spending is running at 3.7% of GDP. Second, total appropriations (including supplementals and continuing resolutions) for military operations, base security, reconstruction, foreign aid, embassy costs and veterans' health care for Iraq and Afghanistan are about $700B from 9/11/2001 through mid-2008 (source). The $700B figure represents the off-budget costs of Iraq and Afghanistan above and beyond the cost of maintaining the military. Averaged out over the ~7 years since 9/11, that represents an average of about $100B a year (although higher in the later years and lower in the earlier years). In FY2006, for example, $116B was allocated and US GDP that year was $13.2T; so the cost of Iraq and Afghanistan that year was about 0.9% of GDP--nowhere close to 10% of GDP.

acropolis 24 Jun 2008 16:44

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactitus
I think the best proof you could offer would be to meet your Kyoto targets (preferably without doing major damage to your economies). It seems silly to me to argue how emissions reductions sufficient to halt global warming are really quite affordable and doable while so many countries are failing to achieve even the modest Kyoto reductions. Something's not adding up. :confused:

"Meeting Kyoto targets without hurting your economy" when there is full participation and doing the same when there is not full paricipation in the treaty are completely different things.

Let's say I have a widget plant in Stillwater, MN, and keep costs low by dumping my waste mercury in the mississippi.

Eventually, minnesota talks to wisconsin about reducing mercury pollution and wisconsin says "if you can prove that it's possible to reduce mercury dumping without massive job loss, we'll opt in".

Minnesota approaches me about reducing my mercury dumping, and I say if they even think about it, I'm moving right over to Hudson, WI and continuing my dumping.

Minnesota could move forward with the new restrictions, which will result in: massive job loss, and no reduction in the river contamination, or they could give up.

Either way, Wisconsin will claim they were proven right. Which is an intellecutally dishonest viewpoint; if both had opted in, widget prices would have gone up a few %, but the economy would be fine and people would be better off.

Texan 24 Jun 2008 18:40

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Phil^
I would somewhat doubt you earn more than yahwe

If you consider after taxes and after basic living costs, I suspect I have considerably more expendable income. Maybe not greatly more, but I would be willing to bet that I have a thousand pounds a month more expendable income than Yahweh has. Expendable income means I can spend it on golf clubs, DVDs, furniture, etc. Not transportation, housing, clothing and food.

Texan 24 Jun 2008 18:42

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toccata & Fugue
If you believe, as many do, that the US is fighting in the Middle East in order to secure oil reserves then it is amusing that US military spending is 10% of its GDP, which is about $439billion military budget plus an additional $170billion for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

So hahaha, those crazy Europeans, what a bunch of hypocritical idiots.

It's clear you don't know the GDP of the United States. Either that or you sucked in maths.

Tactitus 24 Jun 2008 20:09

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by acropolis
"Meeting Kyoto targets without hurting your economy" when there is full participation and doing the same when there is not full paricipation in the treaty are completely different things.

That's as may be, but Kyoto doesn't require full participation. First, only Annex I (developed) countries have to reduce emissions--meaning that high-CO2-producing industries like steel production by transferred to non-Annex I (developing) countries (you may recall that the lack of participation by China and other developing countries was the principle objection by the US to ratifying Kyoto); and second, not all countries had to ratify Kyoto before it went into effect.

Both of these flaws were well known when the treaty was drawn up. No country (to my knowledge) was forced to ratify it; yet nevertheless, many did. Hopefully, they will be more diligent when drawing up and ratifying such treaties in the future.

In any event, the Annex I signatories are stuck with a bad treaty largely of their own making. The best they can do now is to try to meet their targets with--hopefully--minimal economic impact. I sincerely wish them the best.
Quote:

Either way, Wisconsin will claim they were proven right. Which is an intellecutally dishonest viewpoint; if both had opted in, widget prices would have gone up a few %, but the economy would be fine and people would be better off.
Or perhaps the widget industries would have relocated to some other state or country? It's a global economy now, and it would be intellectually dishonest for Wisconsin or Minnesota to claim they didn't know that.

Yahwe 24 Jun 2008 20:51

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactitus
No country (to my knowledge) was forced to ratify it

What on earth are you on about?

HOW could any nation state be forced to ratify anything?

This sort of slip up is indicitive of what is really going on in your and Texan's psyche in this utterly utterly pathetic thread.

1) George Bush decided not to ratify Kyoto
2) Therefore America did not ratify Kyoto
3) At the time of Kyoto we all knew it was not enough
4) George Bush would not even go that far
5) George Bush having not ratified it the treaty becomes pointless because without America things like this fail (see League of Nations)
6) Years later we can see that George Bush WAS WRONG. We know now that America should have backed Kyoto, indeed we all should have gone a damn site further
7) Texan (a frankly incompetent troll - more interested in arguing over my income with people who are not me than sticking to a point) decides that the only way he can justify his salary (and I don't care what it is because if it were tuppance a year it'd be a ****ing waste) is to attack the remnant shell of Kyoto

And in to this frame steps you, a usually rational chap, doing what? 'Boldly defending American values?'.

Do give it a rest.

It's not America who is to blame for Kyoto being a pointless pile of crap. It's one man with the lowest approval rating I have ever seen for a serving president (forgive me but Nixon was before my time and frankly I'm pretty sure you could argue that at least Nixon had charm).

Stop, stop, stop for goodness sake always jumping on bandwagons.

Alessio 24 Jun 2008 22:22

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
I'm not really into the subject. But I do hope you realise that the kyoto-targets were set for 2012 and 2020. Even though not every country had reached the set greenhouse gas emissions targets yet in 2006, one year after the treaty went into effect, a lot of west European countries, such as Germany and the Netherlands seem to be well underway towards exceeding the set targets.

And Texan, I don't know if you wanted to make a point by linking that 580 page report, but I'm not going to read that entire report in hope that I might find something that supports your claim. You'll have to be more specific.

Mzyxptlk 24 Jun 2008 23:20

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
If (statistics about) the subject interest(s) you, but you're too lazy to read the entire report, then there's a nice easy graph on CO2 emissions on one of the first few pages.

Alessio 25 Jun 2008 00:27

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Texan
If the United States had ratified the Kyoto Protocol, this would be justification for nuking all of your capital cities.

If you want to sign a treaty should you not consider doing what you said you would do?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Texan
Doesn't it just piss you off that you try to do good things, and your damn countrymen keep burning fossil fuels?

His post seems a bit retarded, because he's trying to hold us responsible for what's happening in foreign countries, who try to achieve similar goals as us. While 'our countrymen' are actually doing fine.

This forum is filled with Dutch, British and German people who's governments actually seem to do quite well in reducing emissions. He needs to understand that the polluting Spanish, for example, are not our countrymen, and we are in no way responsible for what they do, nor can we force them to do anything.

If he was posting on a Spanish forum then he might have had a valid point.

That aside, I don't see how 'others doing poorly at reaching climate goals' would justify not trying to reach climate goals at all.

Alessio 25 Jun 2008 01:23

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Maybe it would be time to openly discuss the effects of climate change in the USA. Without censoring climate change reports that is. Maybe then will participating in international attempts to reduce harmful emissions will sound more viable to Americans.

http://oversight.house.gov/documents/20071210101633.pdf

Aedolaws 25 Jun 2008 01:52

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Hey those hummers are cool.

Tactitus 25 Jun 2008 10:41

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Yahwe
What on earth are you on about?

HOW could any nation state be forced to ratify anything?

Um, I was being facetious. Apparently my meager attempt at humor sailed clean over your head. I'll try to aim lower. :)
Quote:

This sort of slip up is indicitive of what is really going on in your and Texan's psyche in this utterly utterly pathetic thread.
I have no idea what you're talking about but if this thread is causing you distress then I would suggest you avoid reading it.
Quote:

1) George Bush decided not to ratify Kyoto
Well, no. George Bush can no more ratify Kyoto than Bill Clinton could. Admittedly, Bush is against Kyoto but even if he submitted it to the Senate for approval and used his vast rhetorical skills to argue in favor of it [warning: I was being facetious there as Bush has no rhetorical skills], it still wouldn't get the necessary two-thirds majority it would require (which is why Clinton--who was in favor of Kyoto--didn't bother to send it to the Senate). Even Obama, were he elected President, would not get Kyoto through the US Senate (and like Clinton, I doubt he'd even try). Since the rest of your rant seems to be based on this false premise that Bush has somehow single-handedly prevented the US from ratifying Kyoto I won't bother with it further.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toccata & Fugue
1. I quoted the Stern review which gives estimates.

Which are, at best, just that.
Quote:

2. Part of the problem with meeting the targets is through the tragedy oif the commons, its hard to achieve in just one country, you need a global deal or the whole thing is a waste of time, plus you get capital flight. If everyone does it then no capital flight. Duh.
See my reply to acropolis. If you negotiate/sign a treaty that encourages capital flight (because developed nations have emissions restrictions and developing nations don't) then you shouldn't be surprised if/when capital flight occurs. Duh indeed.
Quote:

3. I got the numbers from, Wiki, they might be wrong, what the money goes on is neither here nor there. You can't spend loads of money on military stuff, and then say "well its all for the veterans of our ridiculous wars so ner."
I don't know why you're so obsessed with our military spending, as it's really a small part of our budget (in spite of your attempts to inflate it).
Quote:

Furthermore if you look at what I wrote, I didn't say that Afghanistan and Iraq cost 10% I said that"the total military budget was $400billion and then add Iraq and Afghanistan.
OK, but it's still a long way from 10%.

Phil^ 25 Jun 2008 10:55

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toccata & Fugue
If Texan has an IQ of 134 then that's fine, either its a discredited and pointless measurement of intelligence and this is yet further proof, or its a completely legitimate measurement of intelligence and we can all feel happy that we have IQs that are significantly higher than 134.

Dont worry, he just didnt notice the decimal point in the middle of it

Texan 25 Jun 2008 16:08

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Phil^
Dont worry, he just didnt notice the decimal point in the middle of it

I laughed out loud at this one. I guess the questions should be, is the decimal between the 1 and the 3 or between the 3 and the 4.

Tactitus 27 Jun 2008 09:15

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Toccata & Fugue
1. Well are you saying if one gives estimates than that is completely unacceptable to you?

When costs and uncertainties are high, yes. But feel free to gamble with your own money. :)
Quote:

That public policy must only be made with exact calculations and numbers before action is taken? Furthermore you discount potential benefits out of hand as mere speculation, whilst any risks are given full prominence - all the time ignoring the very real risk of dangerous climaet change. Your logic is beyond me.
I don't buy into the global warming alarmism (having lived through the global cooling alarmism), but nonetheless there are lots of good reasons not to burn carbon (dependence on foreign supplies, pollution, etc) when viable alternatives (such as nuclear) are available. It's just a question of cost (and if you can't tell me the cost then excuse my lack of enthusiasm).
Quote:

2. Well I am not sure which capital flight has occurred because of the Kyoto treaty, very little I suspect since the treaty is so pathetically weak. My point was a retort to your mysterious assertion that you want to see soem sort of pilot country before you wish to see measures in climate change. No doubt when such a country emerges, you can then so "well that country is a special case." All the while the issue gets worse and worse.
Well I think there is considerable capital flight, but if you're now claiming otherwise than there's even less reason to discount the costs of meeting the Kyoto targets. And you misunderstand my argument: My argument is not that we should use Kyoto as a pilot program to measure it's effectiveness in stopping climate change because everyone knows the Kyoto targets are too small to matter regardless. Rather, my argument is that we should use Kyoto as a pilot program to measure the cost of reducing emissions. That is, for the countries that are required to reduce their CO2 emissions we can see how much it costs for them to do that (assuming they actually reduce their emissions, of course). X% reduction cost Y$. Why wouldn't that be useful information? Then we wouldn't have to rely completely on estimates; we'd have some actual data.
Quote:

3. Its unfair to characterise it as an obsession. Its simply an example of US public expenditure which many believe is excessive, and yet if that money was spent elsewhere, such as on climate change, it would cause no sacrifce by ordinary members of the public and in fact be a benefit to the world. I don't think its to controversial to say that the US does not NEED a Missile defense programme, its does not NEED to have bases in practically every region in the world, it does NOT need a massive nuclear arsenal, it does not NEED to be in Iraq or Afghanistan. However it does NEED to take action to reduce carbon emissions because it is the largest global contributor of CO2, because it is over reliant on dwindling and insecure fossil fuels, because it is highly susceptible to the direct environmental impacts climate change.
Actually China has surpassed the US in CO2 emissions and is increasing at ~12% a year. US CO2 emissions are barely growing (<1%) since 2000 (and thanks to the recent oil price increases, I'm confident that US CO2 emissions won't be going up anytime soon). If you're really serious about reducing global CO2 emissions, then you really need to get China on board (probably India and Brazil too).
Quote:

Now by encouraging energy efficiency measures businesses and individuals will save money.
This we do.
Quote:

Having a strong public transport infrastructure is progressive and good for the economy.
No it isn't. It's mostly an expensive boondoggle.
Quote:

Recycling more waste will help fight against the massive resource crisis which is about to hit.
I don't believe there's any massive resource crisis looming, but we already do recycling--more than is economically sensible in fact.
Quote:

So no one is saying, shut down America, turn out all the lights and go and live in caves, I am saying that the US can reduce its emissions in the short term and make money doing in it.
To the extent that increasing energy efficiency (and thereby reducing emissions) saves money then people are, for the most part, already doing it. I know I've replaced most of my incandescent lightbulbs with compact fluorescents.

Mzyxptlk 27 Jun 2008 11:07

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactitus
I know I've replaced most of my incandescent lightbulbs with compact fluorescents.

Mother Earth is eternally grateful.

G.K Zhukov 27 Jun 2008 19:44

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
The average U.S citizen uses more energy than the average european citizen. The US is quite far behind the EU (even if it hurts me acclaiming the EU) and many countries in Europe when it comes to envirmental standards and recycling (Germany recycles 3/4 of the paper it uses).

There is ofcourse going to be costs when it comes to cutting Co2 and other greenhouses gases. Oil is a very easily used and still rather cheap energy source. However, oil supplies are running out and will eventuelly run totally out on a world wide basis. But the costs of cutting emissions should also be balanced against the cost of weather changes and the effects that have. Sadly the rich can move away from problems (just imagine if Floridia and California got badly hit), while the poor can't.

I won't go into why capitalism is a huge part of the problem and a hinderance to a solution, since thats to obvious for all the well-educated readers of this board. ;)

Ultimate Newbie 28 Jun 2008 02:37

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactitus
Rather, my argument is that we should use Kyoto as a pilot program to measure the cost of reducing emissions. That is, for the countries that are required to reduce their CO2 emissions we can see how much it costs for them to do that (assuming they actually reduce their emissions, of course). X% reduction cost Y$.

But then again, this wouldnt necessarily be useful information. If you assume that the emissions that are easiest (and thus cheapest) to eliminate get eliminated first, which isnt unreasonable, then the relatively weak Kyoto targets would not be a good basis for estimating the costs of future (significant) cuts to emission, due to decreasing returns to investment and/or increasing costs to scale of any such project. Sure, it would be a start, but it might also be a start to chronically underestimating the costs of taking it to the nth degree that T&F would prefer.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zhukov
I won't go into why capitalism is a huge part of the problem and a hinderance to a solution, since thats to obvious for all the well-educated readers of this board. ;)

;). Capitalism also provides a solution for it too. Depressing, huh? ;)

dda 10 Jul 2008 21:08

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by acropolis
"Meeting Kyoto targets without hurting your economy" when there is full participation and doing the same when there is not full paricipation in the treaty are completely different things.

Let's say I have a widget plant in Stillwater, MN, and keep costs low by dumping my waste mercury in the mississippi.

Eventually, minnesota talks to wisconsin about reducing mercury pollution and wisconsin says "if you can prove that it's possible to reduce mercury dumping without massive job loss, we'll opt in".

Minnesota approaches me about reducing my mercury dumping, and I say if they even think about it, I'm moving right over to Hudson, WI and continuing my dumping.

Minnesota could move forward with the new restrictions, which will result in: massive job loss, and no reduction in the river contamination, or they could give up.

Either way, Wisconsin will claim they were proven right. Which is an intellecutally dishonest viewpoint; if both had opted in, widget prices would have gone up a few %, but the economy would be fine and people would be better off.

So, until China, and India
opt in there is no point in the US joining?

Yahwe 10 Jul 2008 21:10

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dda
So, until China, and India
opt in there is no point in the US joining?

America is the leader. "I am their leader I must follow them" - is that not the logic?

dda 10 Jul 2008 21:28

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
The leader in what?

Yahwe 10 Jul 2008 21:31

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dda
The leader in what?

Well America is the global Empire.

Has been for a while now.

(west country farmer voice) Orrdd, bat it dan't seeam t' lyke the warrd empire, praabably because it involves responzibilities

furball 11 Jul 2008 08:03

Re: Latest Kyoto Report for EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dda
So, until China, and India
opt in there is no point in the US joining?

Equally until the US joins then there's no reason for China and India to opt in. Someone has to set a precedent for everyone else to follow and only America can create the international pressure needed to get everyone to sign up.


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